Tuesday, March 21, 2006

Mid Major Massacre

Wichita State, Bradley, George Mason, and Gonzaga to a point have all taken the NCAA by storm. While Gonzaga has been a national player for years, they still employ the same strategy as their mid major conference brothers. With just enough depth, just enough inside play, and great guard play they have beaten the likes on UNC, Michigan State, Seton Hall, Tennessee, Kansas, and Pittsburgh. These teams are no more talented than their former teams, but it has to do with the talent of BCS conference teams.
If any of you follow the NBA draft, notice who is projected at the top every year. Dwight Howard, Kwame Brown, Yao Ming, and LeBron James are the last four top draft picks. These big players all skipped college for the riches of the NBA. Dominant big men simply don't stay, or go at all, in college. In NCAA tournaments in the past, the UNCs and Kansas' of the world could simply go inside and physically overpower their first two round opponents if their shots were not falling. There is no longer the plethora of dominant big men in the NCAAs. This has allowed just enough room for mid majors to hang with the big boys when they are not making shots. The key for big boys is now to be deeper, more conditioned, and all around more athletic then small schools. Memphis will now doom Bradley because of their incredibly athletic defense and being a team that goes 10 deep. Wichita State and George Mason will obviously move one into the elite eight, but UConn has the same combination of defense and athleticism as Memphis, as well as big men, and will end their runs.
So mid major sweet sixteen teams may now become the norm rather than exception, but they will still be none left when we get to Indy, and for the most part, BCS conferences will prevail when we get down to the elite eight and beyond.

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